Published White-Papers, Op-Eds,
Practitioner Pieces
and Commentary

Drawing on my SEGA model, I explain the macroeconomic and growth consequences of deficits in the age of AI. Transformative AI will make current obligations in the developed world easier to meet, but that doesn't necessarily make debt wise.

Posted on the Justified Posteriors Blog

Extending the "SEGA" model to more extreme technological scenarios gives new insights as well as directions for further research

Joint with Victor Ye

White Paper Available at Chapman Digital Commons

I think the title does a pretty good job of summarizing our take. 

Joint with Felix Chang

Published at Promarket: The Publication of the Stigler Center at the University of Chicago 

A review of the analysis of the West's options in sanctioning Russia, based on my time in Moscow with the Gaidar Institute.

Published at War on the Rocks

Despite clear economic benefits of new digital technologies, slow median wage growth has led many to worry that these new technologies are failing to deliver for the average worker. This column describes our model of global automation and technological change, which we use to study the long-term consequences of these trends 

Joint with Victor Ye

Published at VoxEU

In spite of the emergence of cool new technologies—with their enormous industrial potential—the rate of productivity growth in recent years has been disappointingly slow. We discuss hypotheses for why and propose a set of ideas to boost growth. 

Joint with Erik Brynjolfsson and Daniel Rock 

Published at MIT Work of the Future Project

How easily will different countries adapt to remote work? There is an offsetting effect from more developed countries having better internet quality and fewer children at home, and yet, on the other hand, demanding more personal services and occupations that require physical contact.

Joint with Sarah Bana and Rodrigo Solares

Published at Sloan Management Review

Summarizes our research on the economic impact of proposed Facebook (now Meta) antitrust remedies.

Joint with Avi Collis 

Published as Stanford HAI Digital Economy Lab Research Brief

Our research measuring the value-risk proposition of different business openings offers insights and strategies for how to minimize pandemic transmission risk.

Joint with Avi Collis and Christos Nicolaides

Published at Sloan Management Review

A simple OLG model where automation can lower welfare in the long run through reducing saving and investment.

Joint with Jeffrey Sachs and Guillermo Lagarda 

Published as a chapter of Digitized Labor: The Impact of the Internet on Employment. Edited by Lorenzo Pupillo, Eli Noam and Leonard Waverman